The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged on April 30, maintaining the deposit facility rate at 2% amid eurozone inflation surging to 3% in April—up from 2.6% in March—primarily due to elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict. President Christine Lagarde highlighted internal debates on potential hikes as early as June, while the ECB raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent domestic demand and a resilient labor market. Analysts like Morgan Stanley and the IMF now anticipate holds or modest hikes rather than cuts, anchoring trader consensus at an 86.5% implied probability of no ECB rate reduction in 2026 despite economic uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$27,453 Vol.
$27,453 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$27,453 Vol.
$27,453 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged on April 30, maintaining the deposit facility rate at 2% amid eurozone inflation surging to 3% in April—up from 2.6% in March—primarily due to elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict. President Christine Lagarde highlighted internal debates on potential hikes as early as June, while the ECB raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent domestic demand and a resilient labor market. Analysts like Morgan Stanley and the IMF now anticipate holds or modest hikes rather than cuts, anchoring trader consensus at an 86.5% implied probability of no ECB rate reduction in 2026 despite economic uncertainties.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$27,453Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged on April 30, maintaining the deposit facility rate at 2% amid eurozone inflation surging to 3% in April—up from 2.6% in March—primarily due to elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict. President Christine Lagarde highlighted internal debates on potential hikes as early as June, while the ECB raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent domestic demand and a resilient labor market. Analysts like Morgan Stanley and the IMF now anticipate holds or modest hikes rather than cuts, anchoring trader consensus at an 86.5% implied probability of no ECB rate reduction in 2026 despite economic uncertainties.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,453Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged on April 30, maintaining the deposit facility rate at 2% amid eurozone inflation surging to 3% in April—up from 2.6% in March—primarily due to elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict. President Christine Lagarde highlighted internal debates on potential hikes as early as June, while the ECB raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent domestic demand and a resilient labor market. Analysts like Morgan Stanley and the IMF now anticipate holds or modest hikes rather than cuts, anchoring trader consensus at an 86.5% implied probability of no ECB rate reduction in 2026 despite economic uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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