Latest KNMI guidance projects a maximum temperature around 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15 amid morning sunshine transitioning to increasing clouds, light southerly winds, and a 30% chance of isolated showers by late afternoon, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes. The market-implied probability favors 19°C at 43.5%, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18-19°C with some warmer outliers from stronger southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge, while 18°C trails at 25.5% and 20°C at 11.5%. This setup exceeds historical April norms of 13-14°C at Schiphol Airport station, but afternoon cloudiness introduces uncertainty around the peak hour. Monitor hourly KNMI updates for real-time shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 42%
18°C 26%
20°C 11.5%
17°C 6%
$14,818 Vol.
$14,818 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
42%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 42%
18°C 26%
20°C 11.5%
17°C 6%
$14,818 Vol.
$14,818 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
42%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI guidance projects a maximum temperature around 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15 amid morning sunshine transitioning to increasing clouds, light southerly winds, and a 30% chance of isolated showers by late afternoon, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes. The market-implied probability favors 19°C at 43.5%, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18-19°C with some warmer outliers from stronger southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge, while 18°C trails at 25.5% and 20°C at 11.5%. This setup exceeds historical April norms of 13-14°C at Schiphol Airport station, but afternoon cloudiness introduces uncertainty around the peak hour. Monitor hourly KNMI updates for real-time shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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