**Market-implied odds favor 27°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 9, reflecting strong consensus across numerical weather prediction models.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are expected to support daytime warming from overnight lows near 12–14°C, with peak readings around mid-afternoon. Recent model runs from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles align on maximums of 26–28°C, with 27°C emerging as the most probable central tendency given current atmospheric conditions and seasonal norms for early September. Minimal precipitation risk and modest humidity further reduce uncertainty in the diurnal temperature curve. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of forecasts, while noting that minor shifts in steering patterns or local observations could still resolve the market at 26°C or 28°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 9. September?
27°C 63%
26°C 19%
28°C 17%
25°C 4%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
63%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 63%
26°C 19%
28°C 17%
25°C 4%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
63%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor 27°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 9, reflecting strong consensus across numerical weather prediction models.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are expected to support daytime warming from overnight lows near 12–14°C, with peak readings around mid-afternoon. Recent model runs from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles align on maximums of 26–28°C, with 27°C emerging as the most probable central tendency given current atmospheric conditions and seasonal norms for early September. Minimal precipitation risk and modest humidity further reduce uncertainty in the diurnal temperature curve. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of forecasts, while noting that minor shifts in steering patterns or local observations could still resolve the market at 26°C or 28°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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