Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicates a peak temperature near 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market's strong 66% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with a stable high-pressure regime and above-average late-summer conditions, following recent daily highs of 28–30°C. Minor model spread around afternoon maximums keeps 31°C at 24% while limiting odds for 29°C or 32°C. Official resolution will rely on Turkish State Meteorological Service observations, with final verification expected shortly after the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 10. September?
30°C 67%
31°C 24%
29°C 9%
27°C 2%
$12,190 Vol.
$12,190 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
67%
31°C
24%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 67%
31°C 24%
29°C 9%
27°C 2%
$12,190 Vol.
$12,190 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
67%
31°C
24%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicates a peak temperature near 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market's strong 66% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with a stable high-pressure regime and above-average late-summer conditions, following recent daily highs of 28–30°C. Minor model spread around afternoon maximums keeps 31°C at 24% while limiting odds for 29°C or 32°C. Official resolution will rely on Turkish State Meteorological Service observations, with final verification expected shortly after the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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