Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime high near 17°C for Helsinki on September 11, with partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–6 m/s, and low precipitation chances supporting this outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 17°C, aligns with these runs and the 16.2°C historical average high for the date, while the elevated shares for 16°C and 18°C capture typical model spread and minor steering variations. Stable high pressure and cooler maritime air limit upside risk, keeping 19°C or higher below 4% combined. Updated model guidance and any late adjustments in cloud cover or wind direction before resolution remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 11. September?
17°C 39%
16°C 27%
18°C 19%
15°C 11%
10°C oder darunter
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
19%
19°C
7%
20°C oder höher
2%
17°C 39%
16°C 27%
18°C 19%
15°C 11%
10°C oder darunter
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
19%
19°C
7%
20°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime high near 17°C for Helsinki on September 11, with partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–6 m/s, and low precipitation chances supporting this outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 17°C, aligns with these runs and the 16.2°C historical average high for the date, while the elevated shares for 16°C and 18°C capture typical model spread and minor steering variations. Stable high pressure and cooler maritime air limit upside risk, keeping 19°C or higher below 4% combined. Updated model guidance and any late adjustments in cloud cover or wind direction before resolution remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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