Recent meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, confirm a daily maximum of 21°C on September 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by Atlantic influences and light winds, falling slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C but well below historical extremes near 29°C. Official data releases from monitoring agencies provide the resolution threshold, with minimal forecast uncertainty remaining as the observation window closes. Revisions to the recorded maximum or disputes over station siting represent the primary, albeit low-probability, scenarios that could shift the implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 11. September?
21°C 100.0%
14°C oder niedriger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,860 Vol.
$35,860 Vol.
14°C oder niedriger
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
14°C oder niedriger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,860 Vol.
$35,860 Vol.
14°C oder niedriger
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, confirm a daily maximum of 21°C on September 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by Atlantic influences and light winds, falling slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C but well below historical extremes near 29°C. Official data releases from monitoring agencies provide the resolution threshold, with minimal forecast uncertainty remaining as the observation window closes. Revisions to the recorded maximum or disputes over station siting represent the primary, albeit low-probability, scenarios that could shift the implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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