Trader sentiment on Chengdu's highest temperature March 26 hinges on razor-thin model consensus between 23°C and 24°C, with ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction systems like ECMWF and GFS showing spreads of just 1-2°C amid a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge funneling mild air into the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warm spell, with March 24 highs hitting 24°C, exceeding the late-March climatological average of 19-20°C by 3-5°C due to reduced cloud cover and urban heat effects. Differentiating factors include potential evening cold fronts—favoring 23°C—or persistent clear skies pushing to 24°C; traders eye final China Meteorological Administration updates for resolution amid this diurnal maximum uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 26?
23°C 31%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
31%
24°C
30%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 31%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
31%
24°C
30%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Chengdu's highest temperature March 26 hinges on razor-thin model consensus between 23°C and 24°C, with ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction systems like ECMWF and GFS showing spreads of just 1-2°C amid a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge funneling mild air into the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warm spell, with March 24 highs hitting 24°C, exceeding the late-March climatological average of 19-20°C by 3-5°C due to reduced cloud cover and urban heat effects. Differentiating factors include potential evening cold fronts—favoring 23°C—or persistent clear skies pushing to 24°C; traders eye final China Meteorological Administration updates for resolution amid this diurnal maximum uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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