Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 88-89°F (33.5%) and 86-87°F (30.5%) for Dallas on March 26, driven by NOAA's National Weather Service forecast indicating a high near 88°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 87-89°F, with slight differentiation arising from urban heat island amplification in Dallas potentially pushing peaks into the upper range, versus minor diurnal timing variations capping at 86-87°F. Recent soundings confirm dry adiabatic lapse rates favoring rapid daytime heating from a morning low near 65°F, while historical late-March anomalies underscore this above-normal warmth amid broader southern Plains ridging. Upcoming 12z model runs could refine these market-implied odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 26. März?
88–89°F 32%
30-31°C 30%
90-91°F 20%
92-93°F 9%
79°F oder niedriger
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
30-31°C
30%
88–89°F
32%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F oder höher
1%
88–89°F 32%
30-31°C 30%
90-91°F 20%
92-93°F 9%
79°F oder niedriger
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
30-31°C
30%
88–89°F
32%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 88-89°F (33.5%) and 86-87°F (30.5%) for Dallas on March 26, driven by NOAA's National Weather Service forecast indicating a high near 88°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 87-89°F, with slight differentiation arising from urban heat island amplification in Dallas potentially pushing peaks into the upper range, versus minor diurnal timing variations capping at 86-87°F. Recent soundings confirm dry adiabatic lapse rates favoring rapid daytime heating from a morning low near 65°F, while historical late-March anomalies underscore this above-normal warmth amid broader southern Plains ridging. Upcoming 12z model runs could refine these market-implied odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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