Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72-73°F at 35.5% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 17, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest point forecast near 73°F at Los Angeles International Airport under partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from the most recent NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Area Forecast Discussion, which notes downsloping northerly winds delivering 2-5°F warming across coastal areas and the LA Basin amid dry conditions and a weakening marine layer, following cooler highs in the mid-60s earlier this week. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show broad agreement on modest above-normal temperatures—versus April climatological norms near 68°F—though lingering high clouds or onshore flow surges could cap peaks at 70-71°F (25.5%), fueling trader hedging. Updated hourly guidance expected late April 16 may refine these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 6.3%
$16,821 Vol.
$16,821 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 6.3%
$16,821 Vol.
$16,821 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72-73°F at 35.5% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 17, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest point forecast near 73°F at Los Angeles International Airport under partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from the most recent NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Area Forecast Discussion, which notes downsloping northerly winds delivering 2-5°F warming across coastal areas and the LA Basin amid dry conditions and a weakening marine layer, following cooler highs in the mid-60s earlier this week. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show broad agreement on modest above-normal temperatures—versus April climatological norms near 68°F—though lingering high clouds or onshore flow surges could cap peaks at 70-71°F (25.5%), fueling trader hedging. Updated hourly guidance expected late April 16 may refine these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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