Latest forecast models from major providers like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a high of around 20-21°C for Seoul on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 18°C or higher at 43.5% implied probability amid a brief cooldown from the recent warm spell with highs near 27°C on April 15-16. This positioning reflects southerly flows giving way to increased cloudiness and 55% shower risk, tempering intensification potential while keeping temperatures above the mid-April climatological average of 17°C. Early April observations showed variability with highs from 12-22°C, underscoring spring transition uncertainty; Korea Meteorological Administration updates expected daily could refine guidance as frontal timing clarifies. Odds cluster around 16-17°C (20% and 19.5%) highlight model spread on exact cooling extent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 54%
17°C 20%
16°C 18%
15°C 9%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
8%
15°C
9%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
54%
18°C or higher 54%
17°C 20%
16°C 18%
15°C 9%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
8%
15°C
9%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from major providers like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a high of around 20-21°C for Seoul on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 18°C or higher at 43.5% implied probability amid a brief cooldown from the recent warm spell with highs near 27°C on April 15-16. This positioning reflects southerly flows giving way to increased cloudiness and 55% shower risk, tempering intensification potential while keeping temperatures above the mid-April climatological average of 17°C. Early April observations showed variability with highs from 12-22°C, underscoring spring transition uncertainty; Korea Meteorological Administration updates expected daily could refine guidance as frontal timing clarifies. Odds cluster around 16-17°C (20% and 19.5%) highlight model spread on exact cooling extent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen