Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a March 27 high in Los Angeles of 76-77°F (28%) or 74-75°F (26%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 76°F at LAX amid a strengthening subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and adiabatic warming. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge tightly in the mid-70s, with minor divergences—Euro slightly cooler at 74°F, GFS warmer at 78°F—reflecting sensitivity to coastal sea breeze timing, which could cap peaks by 1-2°F via marine layer intrusion. This setup marks a +5°F departure from the 71°F March climatological norm, amplified by persistent high-pressure geopotential height anomalies over the Southwest, though low-probability Santa Ana winds keep tails fatter for 80°F+.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 17%
71°F or below 10%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
6%
90°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 17%
71°F or below 10%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
6%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a March 27 high in Los Angeles of 76-77°F (28%) or 74-75°F (26%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 76°F at LAX amid a strengthening subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and adiabatic warming. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge tightly in the mid-70s, with minor divergences—Euro slightly cooler at 74°F, GFS warmer at 78°F—reflecting sensitivity to coastal sea breeze timing, which could cap peaks by 1-2°F via marine layer intrusion. This setup marks a +5°F departure from the 71°F March climatological norm, amplified by persistent high-pressure geopotential height anomalies over the Southwest, though low-probability Santa Ana winds keep tails fatter for 80°F+.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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