Trader sentiment favors milder conditions in Lucknow on March 25, with 33°C or below leading at 37.5% implied probability, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecasts projecting maximum temperatures of 32-34°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds suppressing heat buildup. Historical March data from IMD stations shows average highs of 32-35°C, with recent days recording 30-33°C due to lingering winter influences and no active heatwave signals from global models like ECMWF. Lower odds for extremes like 42°C (10%) reflect baseline climatology, though traders monitor for rapid dryline shifts that could spike temps; resolution hinges on official IMD observatory readings at Amausi airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 25. März?
33°C oder darunter 50%
36°C 17%
37°C 16%
34°C 13%
33°C oder darunter
43%
34°C
13%
35°C
12%
36°C
17%
37°C
16%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
7%
41°C
7%
42°C
1%
43°C oder höher
1%
33°C oder darunter 50%
36°C 17%
37°C 16%
34°C 13%
33°C oder darunter
43%
34°C
13%
35°C
12%
36°C
17%
37°C
16%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
7%
41°C
7%
42°C
1%
43°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors milder conditions in Lucknow on March 25, with 33°C or below leading at 37.5% implied probability, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecasts projecting maximum temperatures of 32-34°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds suppressing heat buildup. Historical March data from IMD stations shows average highs of 32-35°C, with recent days recording 30-33°C due to lingering winter influences and no active heatwave signals from global models like ECMWF. Lower odds for extremes like 42°C (10%) reflect baseline climatology, though traders monitor for rapid dryline shifts that could spike temps; resolution hinges on official IMD observatory readings at Amausi airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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