Trader sentiment for Milan's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 16–19°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in that range amid a mild high-pressure ridge over central Europe. These models show an ensemble mean near 17.5°C, but with notable spread—GFS leaning warmer toward 19°C due to stronger subsidence, while cooler ICON runs favor 16°C from increased cloud cover. Recent 00Z updates nudged odds upward for 18°C after observed southerly flow yesterday, contrasting seasonal March averages of 13–15°C from Milan Linate station data. Uncertainty persists ahead of today's 12Z runs, as small jet stream shifts could swing outcomes by 2–3°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. März?
18°C 21%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
12°C oder weniger
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
14%
21°C
11%
22°C oder höher
7%
18°C 21%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
12°C oder weniger
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
14%
21°C
11%
22°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Milan's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 16–19°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in that range amid a mild high-pressure ridge over central Europe. These models show an ensemble mean near 17.5°C, but with notable spread—GFS leaning warmer toward 19°C due to stronger subsidence, while cooler ICON runs favor 16°C from increased cloud cover. Recent 00Z updates nudged odds upward for 18°C after observed southerly flow yesterday, contrasting seasonal March averages of 13–15°C from Milan Linate station data. Uncertainty persists ahead of today's 12Z runs, as small jet stream shifts could swing outcomes by 2–3°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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