Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 15°C (26%) and 16°C (22.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a mean maximum of 15-16°C under a building high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly advection. Differentiating nearby outcomes like 14°C and 17°C hinges on model spread from cloud cover uncertainty—persistent stratus could cap peaks at 14°C, while clearer skies enable 17°C outliers—as seen in recent 00Z runs with ±1.5°C divergence. Historical March norms near 13°C add weight to cooler bets, but short-range updates favor mild conditions absent major fronts, keeping 20°C+ at 17.5% on warmest ensemble members.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. März?
15°C 30%
14°C 27%
17°C 21%
13°C 18%
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
16%
19°C
12%
20°C oder höher
16%
15°C 30%
14°C 27%
17°C 21%
13°C 18%
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
16%
19°C
12%
20°C oder höher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 15°C (26%) and 16°C (22.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a mean maximum of 15-16°C under a building high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly advection. Differentiating nearby outcomes like 14°C and 17°C hinges on model spread from cloud cover uncertainty—persistent stratus could cap peaks at 14°C, while clearer skies enable 17°C outliers—as seen in recent 00Z runs with ±1.5°C divergence. Historical March norms near 13°C add weight to cooler bets, but short-range updates favor mild conditions absent major fronts, keeping 20°C+ at 17.5% on warmest ensemble members.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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