Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) indicate Munich's highest temperature on March 25 clustering around 14-16°C under a mild high-pressure ridge allowing southerly airflow, fueling trader optimism for these outcomes at 17-22% implied probabilities. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable cloud cover—clearer skies favor 16-18°C via enhanced insolation, while increased stratocumulus could cap peaks at 13-14°C—against a historical late-March baseline of 11-12°C. Recent 00Z runs show slight upward revisions amid a warming anomaly from the Atlantic jet stream, with traders eyeing afternoon DWD updates for resolution triggers amid 2-3°C uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 25. März?
14°C 22%
15°C 18%
13°C 18%
16°C 18%
9°C oder weniger
9%
10°C
12%
11°C
14%
12°C
16%
13°C
18%
14°C
22%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C oder höher
9%
14°C 22%
15°C 18%
13°C 18%
16°C 18%
9°C oder weniger
9%
10°C
12%
11°C
14%
12°C
16%
13°C
18%
14°C
22%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C oder höher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) indicate Munich's highest temperature on March 25 clustering around 14-16°C under a mild high-pressure ridge allowing southerly airflow, fueling trader optimism for these outcomes at 17-22% implied probabilities. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable cloud cover—clearer skies favor 16-18°C via enhanced insolation, while increased stratocumulus could cap peaks at 13-14°C—against a historical late-March baseline of 11-12°C. Recent 00Z runs show slight upward revisions amid a warming anomaly from the Atlantic jet stream, with traders eyeing afternoon DWD updates for resolution triggers amid 2-3°C uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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