Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 12°C (24%) and 13°C (23%), driven by ensemble forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models projecting mild highs of 11-14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flow. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer skies in GFS ensembles boost 13-14°C odds (18-41% combined), while UKMO hints at thicker overcast capping at 11-12°C. Recent 00Z runs trended slightly warmer amid low wind shear, but historical March 23 baselines (average 11.5°C) and short-range uncertainty from potential afternoon showers keep 16°C+ at just 14.5%. Watch DWD's next update for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 23. März?
12°C 24%
13°C 23%
11°C 19%
14°C 18%
6°C oder niedriger
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
10%
11°C
19%
12°C
24%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C
13%
16°C oder höher
14%
12°C 24%
13°C 23%
11°C 19%
14°C 18%
6°C oder niedriger
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
10%
11°C
19%
12°C
24%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C
13%
16°C oder höher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 12°C (24%) and 13°C (23%), driven by ensemble forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models projecting mild highs of 11-14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flow. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer skies in GFS ensembles boost 13-14°C odds (18-41% combined), while UKMO hints at thicker overcast capping at 11-12°C. Recent 00Z runs trended slightly warmer amid low wind shear, but historical March 23 baselines (average 11.5°C) and short-range uncertainty from potential afternoon showers keep 16°C+ at just 14.5%. Watch DWD's next update for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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