Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing mid-April heatwave fueled by a high-pressure system to the north and low-pressure to the south, ushering warm, humid southeasterly winds. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts a daytime high near 18°C in nearby Incheon under partly cloudy to cloudy conditions, following today's clear-sky peak of 24°C—well above the mid-April climatological average of 17.3°C. Recent records include Seoul highs of 27.4°C on April 13 and 27.8°C on April 14, the warmest ever for those dates. Model uncertainty persists with potential cloud cover capping intensity; watch KMA's hourly updates resolving via official Seoul station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 58%
17°C 20%
16°C 16%
15°C 3.6%
$40,395 Vol.
$40,395 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
58%
18°C or higher 58%
17°C 20%
16°C 16%
15°C 3.6%
$40,395 Vol.
$40,395 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
58%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing mid-April heatwave fueled by a high-pressure system to the north and low-pressure to the south, ushering warm, humid southeasterly winds. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts a daytime high near 18°C in nearby Incheon under partly cloudy to cloudy conditions, following today's clear-sky peak of 24°C—well above the mid-April climatological average of 17.3°C. Recent records include Seoul highs of 27.4°C on April 13 and 27.8°C on April 14, the warmest ever for those dates. Model uncertainty persists with potential cloud cover capping intensity; watch KMA's hourly updates resolving via official Seoul station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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