Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Tel Aviv highs of 32–34°C on September 17 under clear skies and light northwest flow typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions. Strong solar insolation at this latitude, combined with minimal cloud cover and dry air masses, supports peak heating near midday, though coastal sea breezes and urban effects introduce variability that can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context for the above-normal warmth implied by trader positioning, with 35°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 41.5% due to slight upside model runs. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or humidity could alter outcomes before the close of the trading day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. September?
35°C 42%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 7%
$11,447 Vol.
$11,447 Vol.
30°C oder weniger
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
42%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 7%
$11,447 Vol.
$11,447 Vol.
30°C oder weniger
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
42%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Tel Aviv highs of 32–34°C on September 17 under clear skies and light northwest flow typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions. Strong solar insolation at this latitude, combined with minimal cloud cover and dry air masses, supports peak heating near midday, though coastal sea breezes and urban effects introduce variability that can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context for the above-normal warmth implied by trader positioning, with 35°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 41.5% due to slight upside model runs. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or humidity could alter outcomes before the close of the trading day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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