Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 28°C for Toronto on August 11, 2026, positioning this as the leading outcome at 42% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus limited moisture support modest warming without a heat dome or strong cold front. Model consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C, with 27°C and 29°C holding 27.5% and 22% respectively as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum temperature readings. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 11. August?
28°C 42%
27°C 28%
29°C 22%
26°C 10%
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
28%
28°C
42%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C oder höher
2%
28°C 42%
27°C 28%
29°C 22%
26°C 10%
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
28%
28°C
42%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C oder höher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 28°C for Toronto on August 11, 2026, positioning this as the leading outcome at 42% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus limited moisture support modest warming without a heat dome or strong cold front. Model consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C, with 27°C and 29°C holding 27.5% and 22% respectively as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum temperature readings. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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