Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto projects sunny conditions with a daytime high of 29 °C on August 9, supported by model consensus showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits cooling. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 28 °C (47 % implied probability) and nearby outcomes at 27 °C and 29 °C, reflecting trader assessment of typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C. Early-August warmth across southern Ontario, driven by above-average seasonal temperatures and lingering effects from a broader 2026 heat anomaly, has reinforced these probabilities, while any late-model shift toward increased moisture or cloud cover could narrow the range toward the lower end. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 9. August?
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto projects sunny conditions with a daytime high of 29 °C on August 9, supported by model consensus showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits cooling. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 28 °C (47 % implied probability) and nearby outcomes at 27 °C and 29 °C, reflecting trader assessment of typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C. Early-August warmth across southern Ontario, driven by above-average seasonal temperatures and lingering effects from a broader 2026 heat anomaly, has reinforced these probabilities, while any late-model shift toward increased moisture or cloud cover could narrow the range toward the lower end. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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