Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Carl Lambrecht on November 3. The district's D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from major forecasters reflect its reliable preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical margins and limited competitive pressure. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of recent developments favoring a flip make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-10 Wahlsieger
IL-10 Wahlsieger
$22,025 Vol.
$22,025 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$22,025 Vol.
$22,025 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$19,053 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$2,971 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Carl Lambrecht on November 3. The district's D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from major forecasters reflect its reliable preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical margins and limited competitive pressure. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of recent developments favoring a flip make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$22,025Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Carl Lambrecht on November 3. The district's D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from major forecasters reflect its reliable preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical margins and limited competitive pressure. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of recent developments favoring a flip make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,025Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Carl Lambrecht on November 3. The district's D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from major forecasters reflect its reliable preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical margins and limited competitive pressure. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and the absence of recent developments favoring a flip make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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