Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and global models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 18, 2026, will likely range from 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent southwesterly flow. This stems from mild Atlantic air advection and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover, consistent with September's observed 1–2°C above-average temperatures through mid-month. Historical climatology places the average low near 10.8°C, yet current steering patterns and dew points around 10–12°C support a reduced chance of deeper cooling. Trader emphasis on 17°C+ and 13°C outcomes reflects these conditions, with model consensus showing minimal overnight drops before daytime warming to 17–19°C. Updated runs from European and U.S. agencies on the 17th will refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 18. September?
17°C oder höher 87%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
13°C 32%
7°C oder darunter
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
21%
11°C
25%
12°C
24%
13°C
32%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C oder höher
87%
17°C oder höher 87%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
13°C 32%
7°C oder darunter
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
21%
11°C
25%
12°C
24%
13°C
32%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C oder höher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and global models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 18, 2026, will likely range from 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent southwesterly flow. This stems from mild Atlantic air advection and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover, consistent with September's observed 1–2°C above-average temperatures through mid-month. Historical climatology places the average low near 10.8°C, yet current steering patterns and dew points around 10–12°C support a reduced chance of deeper cooling. Trader emphasis on 17°C+ and 13°C outcomes reflects these conditions, with model consensus showing minimal overnight drops before daytime warming to 17–19°C. Updated runs from European and U.S. agencies on the 17th will refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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