Current forecasts for Beijing on September 18 indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers or thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal early-autumn patterns. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because model runs show modest uncertainty in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the minimum by several degrees depending on cloud cover timing and any frontal passage. Historical September lows average around 15.5°C, yet recent warm daytime conditions and elevated humidity may limit overnight drops, keeping the market-implied distribution tight ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 18. September?
14°C oder niedriger 91%
24°C oder höher 89%
15°C 39%
17°C 39%
14°C oder niedriger
91%
15°C
39%
16°C
38%
17°C
39%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
14%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
89%
14°C oder niedriger 91%
24°C oder höher 89%
15°C 39%
17°C 39%
14°C oder niedriger
91%
15°C
39%
16°C
38%
17°C
39%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
14%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Beijing on September 18 indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers or thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal early-autumn patterns. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because model runs show modest uncertainty in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the minimum by several degrees depending on cloud cover timing and any frontal passage. Historical September lows average around 15.5°C, yet recent warm daytime conditions and elevated humidity may limit overnight drops, keeping the market-implied distribution tight ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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