Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 20–21°C for Busan on September 11, driven by a strengthening high-pressure system over northern China that promotes clearer skies, radiational cooling overnight, and moderating easterly flow after the record-hot summer. Coastal maritime influence and light winds limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or residual moisture could hold the low closer to 22°C. The near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact timing of high-pressure arrival and local sea-surface temperatures, with resolution hinging on the Korea Meteorological Administration’s final overnight observations. Updated model runs and evening briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus around these mid-range values.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 11. September?
25°C oder höher 94%
15°C oder weniger 92%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C oder weniger
92%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
22%
20°C
23%
21°C
20%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
94%
25°C oder höher 94%
15°C oder weniger 92%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C oder weniger
92%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
22%
20°C
23%
21°C
20%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 20–21°C for Busan on September 11, driven by a strengthening high-pressure system over northern China that promotes clearer skies, radiational cooling overnight, and moderating easterly flow after the record-hot summer. Coastal maritime influence and light winds limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or residual moisture could hold the low closer to 22°C. The near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact timing of high-pressure arrival and local sea-surface temperatures, with resolution hinging on the Korea Meteorological Administration’s final overnight observations. Updated model runs and evening briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus around these mid-range values.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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