Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 26?
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$53,052 Vol.
$53,052 Vol.
26. Mai 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$53,052 Vol.
$53,052 Vol.
26. Mai 2026
20°C or below
$897 Vol.
No
21°C
$947 Vol.
No
22°C
$964 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,115 Vol.
No
24°C
$905 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,257 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,907 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,818 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,560 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,760 Vol.
Yes
30°C or higher
$4,920 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$53,052Enddatum
26. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$53,052Enddatum
26. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Persistent subtropical ridging combined with light southerly flow has suppressed overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, producing Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus for a minimum temperature of 29°C on May 26. This atmospheric setup maintains elevated nighttime readings typical of late-spring conditions in the region, where average lows often range from 25–28°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the limited scope for significant deviation under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or localized rainfall could enhance cooling and shift the recorded low, though such changes appear unlikely before final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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