Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Jinan on September 15 likely falling in the 18–22°C range, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and southerly winds advecting warmer air masses across the North China Plain. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight while maintaining daytime highs near 30–32°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 44% implied probability for 22°C or higher, alongside strong support for 18°C, aligns with this consensus across ensemble runs showing limited cold-air intrusion or cloud cover that could lower readings further. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine steering patterns and any subtle frontal influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 15. September?
12°C oder niedriger 95%
22°C oder höher 85%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
12°C oder niedriger
95%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
39%
22°C oder höher
85%
12°C oder niedriger 95%
22°C oder höher 85%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
12°C oder niedriger
95%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
39%
22°C oder höher
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Jinan on September 15 likely falling in the 18–22°C range, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and southerly winds advecting warmer air masses across the North China Plain. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight while maintaining daytime highs near 30–32°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 44% implied probability for 22°C or higher, alongside strong support for 18°C, aligns with this consensus across ensemble runs showing limited cold-air intrusion or cloud cover that could lower readings further. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine steering patterns and any subtle frontal influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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