Recent forecast models from global ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Karachi on September 11, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and residual monsoon moisture that limits radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the average September low around 27°C, with current runs showing slightly cooler conditions than recent days due to reduced daytime heating and higher humidity trapping heat near the surface. The near-even market odds between extremes above 31°C and below 21°C highlight genuine uncertainty in precise boundary-layer dynamics and local urban effects, with new model updates and observational data expected within 24–48 hours to refine the range. Traders weigh these variables against typical September variability when assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Karatschi am 11. September?
31°C oder höher 98%
21°C oder darunter 97%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C oder darunter
97%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
8%
31°C oder höher
98%
31°C oder höher 98%
21°C oder darunter 97%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C oder darunter
97%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
8%
31°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from global ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Karachi on September 11, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and residual monsoon moisture that limits radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the average September low around 27°C, with current runs showing slightly cooler conditions than recent days due to reduced daytime heating and higher humidity trapping heat near the surface. The near-even market odds between extremes above 31°C and below 21°C highlight genuine uncertainty in precise boundary-layer dynamics and local urban effects, with new model updates and observational data expected within 24–48 hours to refine the range. Traders weigh these variables against typical September variability when assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen