Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies point to overnight lows in Karachi near 27°C on September 4, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and moderate winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's highest implied probability on 27°C while keeping odds for 21°C or below modest, as historical September minima rarely dip that low outside unusual cooling events. Recent light drizzle has maintained elevated dew points around 23–24°C, further anchoring minimum temperatures and reducing volatility in short-term guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Karatschi am 4. September?
31°C oder höher 80%
21°C oder weniger 71%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C oder weniger
71%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
53%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C oder höher
80%
31°C oder höher 80%
21°C oder weniger 71%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C oder weniger
71%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
53%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C oder höher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies point to overnight lows in Karachi near 27°C on September 4, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and moderate winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's highest implied probability on 27°C while keeping odds for 21°C or below modest, as historical September minima rarely dip that low outside unusual cooling events. Recent light drizzle has maintained elevated dew points around 23–24°C, further anchoring minimum temperatures and reducing volatility in short-term guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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