Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) rains and widespread cloud cover from an enhanced low-pressure pattern over Luzon are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 30 minimum temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C. PAGASA forecasts indicate 24–27°C ranges amid moderate-to-strong southwest winds, high humidity near 90%, and heavy rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress larger diurnal drops while steering patterns and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty between 23–27°C outcomes. Trader consensus around these values aligns with model agreement on monsoon-driven moderation rather than clear-sky radiative lows or stronger tropical influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
22°C 73%
26°C 39%
27°C 39%
23°C 38%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
73%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 73%
26°C 39%
27°C 39%
23°C 38%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$156 Vol.
1%
22°C
$32 Vol.
73%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$6 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) rains and widespread cloud cover from an enhanced low-pressure pattern over Luzon are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 30 minimum temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C. PAGASA forecasts indicate 24–27°C ranges amid moderate-to-strong southwest winds, high humidity near 90%, and heavy rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress larger diurnal drops while steering patterns and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty between 23–27°C outcomes. Trader consensus around these values aligns with model agreement on monsoon-driven moderation rather than clear-sky radiative lows or stronger tropical influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$536Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) rains and widespread cloud cover from an enhanced low-pressure pattern over Luzon are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 30 minimum temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C. PAGASA forecasts indicate 24–27°C ranges amid moderate-to-strong southwest winds, high humidity near 90%, and heavy rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress larger diurnal drops while steering patterns and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty between 23–27°C outcomes. Trader consensus around these values aligns with model agreement on monsoon-driven moderation rather than clear-sky radiative lows or stronger tropical influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$536Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) rains and widespread cloud cover from an enhanced low-pressure pattern over Luzon are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 30 minimum temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C. PAGASA forecasts indicate 24–27°C ranges amid moderate-to-strong southwest winds, high humidity near 90%, and heavy rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions suppress larger diurnal drops while steering patterns and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty between 23–27°C outcomes. Trader consensus around these values aligns with model agreement on monsoon-driven moderation rather than clear-sky radiative lows or stronger tropical influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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