Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 18–19°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the Po Valley. This keeps trader attention split between the 23°C-or-higher and 13°C-or-below brackets because small differences in nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm advection can shift the low by several degrees. Radiative cooling rates under high pressure versus any increase in low-level moisture or wind will determine whether the night stays mild or drops more sharply. Fresh 00Z and 12Z model runs expected overnight will narrow the spread and likely move the closely matched implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 15. September?
13°C oder weniger 83%
23°C oder höher 81%
22°C 39%
18°C 29%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
83%
14°C
18%
15°C
17%
16°C
20%
17°C
23%
18°C
29%
19°C
28%
20°C
23%
21°C
20%
22°C
39%
23°C oder höher
81%
13°C oder weniger 83%
23°C oder höher 81%
22°C 39%
18°C 29%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
83%
14°C
$10 Vol.
18%
15°C
$8 Vol.
17%
16°C
$8 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$10 Vol.
39%
23°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 18–19°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the Po Valley. This keeps trader attention split between the 23°C-or-higher and 13°C-or-below brackets because small differences in nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm advection can shift the low by several degrees. Radiative cooling rates under high pressure versus any increase in low-level moisture or wind will determine whether the night stays mild or drops more sharply. Fresh 00Z and 12Z model runs expected overnight will narrow the spread and likely move the closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$56Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 18–19°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the Po Valley. This keeps trader attention split between the 23°C-or-higher and 13°C-or-below brackets because small differences in nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm advection can shift the low by several degrees. Radiative cooling rates under high pressure versus any increase in low-level moisture or wind will determine whether the night stays mild or drops more sharply. Fresh 00Z and 12Z model runs expected overnight will narrow the spread and likely move the closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 18–19°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the Po Valley. This keeps trader attention split between the 23°C-or-higher and 13°C-or-below brackets because small differences in nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm advection can shift the low by several degrees. Radiative cooling rates under high pressure versus any increase in low-level moisture or wind will determine whether the night stays mild or drops more sharply. Fresh 00Z and 12Z model runs expected overnight will narrow the spread and likely move the closely matched implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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