Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 12. September?
4°C oder niedriger 95%
14°C oder höher 85%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
4°C oder niedriger
95%
5°C
35%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
19%
12°C
18%
13°C
16%
14°C oder höher
85%
4°C oder niedriger 95%
14°C oder höher 85%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
4°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
95%
5°C
$0 Vol.
35%
6°C
$0 Vol.
39%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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