Recent forecasts from major models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 10–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 10.6°C and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–11°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover limits temperature drops, while any clearer intervals or slightly stronger northerly flow could push the minimum toward 8°C or lower. Official guidance from European weather centers shows high model agreement through the night, though small variations in dew point or wind speed near dawn introduce the main uncertainty for exact resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 11. September?
15°C oder höher 52%
5°C oder weniger 28%
9°C 28%
10°C 27%
5°C oder weniger
28%
6°C
10%
7°C
21%
8°C
24%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
8%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C oder höher
52%
15°C oder höher 52%
5°C oder weniger 28%
9°C 28%
10°C 27%
5°C oder weniger
28%
6°C
10%
7°C
21%
8°C
24%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
8%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C oder höher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 10–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 10.6°C and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–11°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover limits temperature drops, while any clearer intervals or slightly stronger northerly flow could push the minimum toward 8°C or lower. Official guidance from European weather centers shows high model agreement through the night, though small variations in dew point or wind speed near dawn introduce the main uncertainty for exact resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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