Recent forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on September 11, driven by the ongoing rainy season and typical trade-wind moisture, which historically caps daily maxima near 29–30 °C. These conditions, combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation during peak heating hours, position 31–33 °C as the most probable range for the official highest temperature reading. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September while accounting for model uncertainty around exact timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 34 °C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 11. September?
32°C 40%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
40%
33°C
23%
34°C oder höher
4%
32°C 40%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$184 Vol.
4%
30°C
$203 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,396 Vol.
24%
32°C
$813 Vol.
40%
33°C
$2,405 Vol.
23%
34°C oder höher
$263 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on September 11, driven by the ongoing rainy season and typical trade-wind moisture, which historically caps daily maxima near 29–30 °C. These conditions, combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation during peak heating hours, position 31–33 °C as the most probable range for the official highest temperature reading. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September while accounting for model uncertainty around exact timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 34 °C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,720Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on September 11, driven by the ongoing rainy season and typical trade-wind moisture, which historically caps daily maxima near 29–30 °C. These conditions, combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation during peak heating hours, position 31–33 °C as the most probable range for the official highest temperature reading. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September while accounting for model uncertainty around exact timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 34 °C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,720Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on September 11, driven by the ongoing rainy season and typical trade-wind moisture, which historically caps daily maxima near 29–30 °C. These conditions, combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation during peak heating hours, position 31–33 °C as the most probable range for the official highest temperature reading. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September while accounting for model uncertainty around exact timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 34 °C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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