Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. September?
25°C 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,225 Vol.
$28,225 Vol.
16°C oder weniger
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,225 Vol.
$28,225 Vol.
16°C oder weniger
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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