Forecast models from Météo-France and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C overnight into September 17, 2026, driven by moderate westerly to southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological averages around 11–12°C while reflecting slightly warmer conditions from persistent Atlantic air masses. Trader consensus favoring 12°C (53% implied probability) reflects tight model agreement on the overnight low, with 13°C as the secondary outcome. Key resolution factors include official Paris observations at standard sites; updated model runs and real-time station data through early morning will refine the final value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 17. September?
12°C 54%
13°C 35%
11°C 15%
10°C 7%
8°C oder niedriger
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
7%
11°C
12%
12°C
54%
13°C
35%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 54%
13°C 35%
11°C 15%
10°C 7%
8°C oder niedriger
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
7%
11°C
12%
12°C
54%
13°C
35%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C overnight into September 17, 2026, driven by moderate westerly to southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological averages around 11–12°C while reflecting slightly warmer conditions from persistent Atlantic air masses. Trader consensus favoring 12°C (53% implied probability) reflects tight model agreement on the overnight low, with 13°C as the secondary outcome. Key resolution factors include official Paris observations at standard sites; updated model runs and real-time station data through early morning will refine the final value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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