Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 30. August?
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 32%
50-51°F 26%
54-55°F 26%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
47°F oder darunter
2%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
9%
66°F oder höher
8%
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 32%
50-51°F 26%
54-55°F 26%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
47°F oder darunter
$263 Vol.
2%
48-49°F
$11 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
26%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
25%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
26%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
35%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
9%
66°F oder höher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$284Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$284Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen