**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 13 near 24–26°C.** Persistent subtropical moisture, easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and dew points around 23–25°C. This setup typically produces overnight lows in line with early-September climatology rather than sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting agreement on these boundary-layer conditions, while the elevated probability assigned to 21°C or below appears to price in tail risks from unexpected clearing or stronger model spread. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs and local station observations overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 13. September?
21°C oder weniger 54%
31°C oder höher 54%
22°C 39%
24°C 39%
21°C oder weniger
54%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
27%
31°C oder höher
54%
21°C oder weniger 54%
31°C oder höher 54%
22°C 39%
24°C 39%
21°C oder weniger
54%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
27%
31°C oder höher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 13 near 24–26°C.** Persistent subtropical moisture, easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and dew points around 23–25°C. This setup typically produces overnight lows in line with early-September climatology rather than sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting agreement on these boundary-layer conditions, while the elevated probability assigned to 21°C or below appears to price in tail risks from unexpected clearing or stronger model spread. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs and local station observations overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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