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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

22°C 81%

23°C 79%

24°C 78%

26°C 77%

Polymarket
NEU

22°C 81%

23°C 79%

24°C 78%

26°C 77%

Polymarket
NEU

20°C or below

$5 Vol.

15%

21°C

$5 Vol.

13%

22°C

$5 Vol.

81%

23°C

$0 Vol.

79%

24°C

$0 Vol.

78%

25°C

$0 Vol.

62%

26°C

$0 Vol.

77%

27°C

$0 Vol.

46%

28°C

$0 Vol.

15%

29°C

$5 Vol.

44%

30°C or higher

$5 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources (including Chinese meteorological services and international providers like PredictWind and Yr.no) converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C for Shenzhen on September 2, 2026, with 25°C as the most frequently indicated value.** This aligns with the market’s highest implied probability on 25°C (61.5%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-September subtropical conditions. Shenzhen’s South Asian monsoon climate features persistent high humidity (often 80–95%) and cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Current northerly to northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, combined with light rain or overcast skies on September 1–2, further moderate temperature drops. No strong cold-air outbreak or typhoon influence appears in the latest guidance, keeping extremes (below 22°C or 30°C+) at low implied odds (under 25%). Supporting context includes historical September averages of roughly 25–26°C lows and the absence of unusual atmospheric patterns in recent days. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or local Shenzhen updates could refine these values, but the current multi-model agreement supports the market’s emphasis on the narrow 24–26°C band.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources (including Chinese meteorological services and international providers like PredictWind and Yr.no) converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C for Shenzhen on September 2, 2026, with 25°C as the most frequently indicated value.** This aligns with the market’s highest implied probability on 25°C (61.5%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-September subtropical conditions. Shenzhen’s South Asian monsoon climate features persistent high humidity (often 80–95%) and cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Current northerly to northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, combined with light rain or overcast skies on September 1–2, further moderate temperature drops. No strong cold-air outbreak or typhoon influence appears in the latest guidance, keeping extremes (below 22°C or 30°C+) at low implied odds (under 25%). Supporting context includes historical September averages of roughly 25–26°C lows and the absence of unusual atmospheric patterns in recent days. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or local Shenzhen updates could refine these values, but the current multi-model agreement supports the market’s emphasis on the narrow 24–26°C band.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 1?

51%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?

35%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C or below on September 3?

Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C or below on September 3?

35%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „25°C" mit 62%, gefolgt von „22°C" mit 41%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 62¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 62% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?" ist „25°C" mit 62%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 62% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „22°C" mit 41%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 2. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.