Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 23–25°C outcomes, where traders weigh the precise balance of humidity, wind speed, and precipitation timing—factors that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines hover near 25–26°C, providing context for the modest downside risk reflected in lower-probability bins. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution on whether enhanced cloudiness or clearer intervals prevail.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 3. September?
20°C or below 69%
28°C 48%
30°C or higher 46%
24°C 32%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
18%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
32%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
48%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
46%
20°C or below 69%
28°C 48%
30°C or higher 46%
24°C 32%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
21°C
$5 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
32%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$5 Vol.
48%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 23–25°C outcomes, where traders weigh the precise balance of humidity, wind speed, and precipitation timing—factors that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines hover near 25–26°C, providing context for the modest downside risk reflected in lower-probability bins. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution on whether enhanced cloudiness or clearer intervals prevail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$25Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 23–25°C outcomes, where traders weigh the precise balance of humidity, wind speed, and precipitation timing—factors that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines hover near 25–26°C, providing context for the modest downside risk reflected in lower-probability bins. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution on whether enhanced cloudiness or clearer intervals prevail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 23–25°C outcomes, where traders weigh the precise balance of humidity, wind speed, and precipitation timing—factors that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines hover near 25–26°C, providing context for the modest downside risk reflected in lower-probability bins. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution on whether enhanced cloudiness or clearer intervals prevail.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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