Latest MetService guidance points to an overnight low near 4°C in Wellington on September 8 under southerly flow behind a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building overhead. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit moderate radiational cooling after any pre-dawn showers, consistent with spring climatology where minima often range 4–7°C. Current model consensus and recent observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 4°C (61% implied probability), while the 33% on 3°C or below captures uncertainty around stronger southerlies or clearer conditions that could enhance cooling. Updated MetService briefings overnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 8. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 8. September?
3°C oder darunter 65%
4°C 62%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
3°C oder darunter
65%
4°C
62%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7 °C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C oder höher
<1%
3°C oder darunter 65%
4°C 62%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
3°C oder darunter
$33 Vol.
65%
4°C
$31 Vol.
62%
5°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
7 °C
$149 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
13°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService guidance points to an overnight low near 4°C in Wellington on September 8 under southerly flow behind a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building overhead. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit moderate radiational cooling after any pre-dawn showers, consistent with spring climatology where minima often range 4–7°C. Current model consensus and recent observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 4°C (61% implied probability), while the 33% on 3°C or below captures uncertainty around stronger southerlies or clearer conditions that could enhance cooling. Updated MetService briefings overnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,731Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService guidance points to an overnight low near 4°C in Wellington on September 8 under southerly flow behind a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building overhead. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit moderate radiational cooling after any pre-dawn showers, consistent with spring climatology where minima often range 4–7°C. Current model consensus and recent observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 4°C (61% implied probability), while the 33% on 3°C or below captures uncertainty around stronger southerlies or clearer conditions that could enhance cooling. Updated MetService briefings overnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,731Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService guidance points to an overnight low near 4°C in Wellington on September 8 under southerly flow behind a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building overhead. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit moderate radiational cooling after any pre-dawn showers, consistent with spring climatology where minima often range 4–7°C. Current model consensus and recent observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 4°C (61% implied probability), while the 33% on 3°C or below captures uncertainty around stronger southerlies or clearer conditions that could enhance cooling. Updated MetService briefings overnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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