Abdul El-Sayed leads the market for winning Grand Traverse County in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest at 66.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Mike Rogers at 17 percent, with multiple other candidates listed near even money. Recent Suffolk University polling shows El-Sayed ahead of Rogers statewide by seven points among likely voters, driven by stronger support from independents and women. The race to succeed retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up in most forecasts, with El-Sayed’s primary victory over Haley Stevens and Rogers’s unopposed Republican nomination setting up the general election matchup. Fundraising data indicate Rogers and aligned groups have spent more on advertising since the August primaries, while El-Sayed maintains an edge in small-dollar and in-state contributions. No county-specific polling for Grand Traverse has surfaced in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus anchored to broader statewide trends and historical voting patterns in the northern Michigan region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
71%
Mike Rogers (R)
47%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$48 Vol.
71%
Mike Rogers (R)
$20 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.Abdul El-Sayed leads the market for winning Grand Traverse County in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest at 66.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Mike Rogers at 17 percent, with multiple other candidates listed near even money. Recent Suffolk University polling shows El-Sayed ahead of Rogers statewide by seven points among likely voters, driven by stronger support from independents and women. The race to succeed retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up in most forecasts, with El-Sayed’s primary victory over Haley Stevens and Rogers’s unopposed Republican nomination setting up the general election matchup. Fundraising data indicate Rogers and aligned groups have spent more on advertising since the August primaries, while El-Sayed maintains an edge in small-dollar and in-state contributions. No county-specific polling for Grand Traverse has surfaced in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus anchored to broader statewide trends and historical voting patterns in the northern Michigan region.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volumen
$68Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.Abdul El-Sayed leads the market for winning Grand Traverse County in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest at 66.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Mike Rogers at 17 percent, with multiple other candidates listed near even money. Recent Suffolk University polling shows El-Sayed ahead of Rogers statewide by seven points among likely voters, driven by stronger support from independents and women. The race to succeed retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up in most forecasts, with El-Sayed’s primary victory over Haley Stevens and Rogers’s unopposed Republican nomination setting up the general election matchup. Fundraising data indicate Rogers and aligned groups have spent more on advertising since the August primaries, while El-Sayed maintains an edge in small-dollar and in-state contributions. No county-specific polling for Grand Traverse has surfaced in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus anchored to broader statewide trends and historical voting patterns in the northern Michigan region.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
Volumen
$68Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed leads the market for winning Grand Traverse County in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest at 66.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Mike Rogers at 17 percent, with multiple other candidates listed near even money. Recent Suffolk University polling shows El-Sayed ahead of Rogers statewide by seven points among likely voters, driven by stronger support from independents and women. The race to succeed retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up in most forecasts, with El-Sayed’s primary victory over Haley Stevens and Rogers’s unopposed Republican nomination setting up the general election matchup. Fundraising data indicate Rogers and aligned groups have spent more on advertising since the August primaries, while El-Sayed maintains an edge in small-dollar and in-state contributions. No county-specific polling for Grand Traverse has surfaced in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus anchored to broader statewide trends and historical voting patterns in the northern Michigan region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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