**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-02 Wahlsieger
NJ-02 Wahlsieger
$15,753 Vol.
$15,753 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
70%
Demokratische Partei
30%
$15,753 Vol.
$15,753 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$8,219 Vol.
70%
Demokratische Partei
$7,534 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$15,753Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,753Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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