**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-02 Wahlsieger
NJ-02 Wahlsieger
$15,753 Vol.
$15,753 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
70%
Demokratische Partei
30%
$15,753 Vol.
$15,753 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$8,219 Vol.
70%
Demokratische Partei
$7,534 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising.
Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$15,753Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising.
Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,753Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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