As of April 14, Seattle-Tacoma Airport (CLISEA station) recorded 1.87 inches of precipitation for the month, boosted by 1.06 inches on the 14th—nearly matching the 1991-2020 daily record—following a drier early April. With roughly half the month remaining and the 30-year April normal around 3 inches, National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles indicate modest additional rainfall from lingering Pacific moisture, but a developing upper-level ridge per Climate Prediction Center guidance favors below-normal totals late-month. This scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and intensification potential for incoming systems keeps trader consensus tightly split, with 34.5% implied probability for 3-3.5 inches versus 32% for 2.5-3 inches; daily NWS updates and GFS/ECMWF runs through April 30 will be pivotal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiederschlag in Seattle im April?
Niederschlag in Seattle im April?
3-3,5" 36%
2,5–3" 25%
<2,5" 17%
3,5-4" 16.1%
$44,364 Vol.
$44,364 Vol.
<2,5"
17%
2,5–3"
25%
3-3,5"
36%
3,5-4"
16%
4-4,5"
1%
4,5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
3-3,5" 36%
2,5–3" 25%
<2,5" 17%
3,5-4" 16.1%
$44,364 Vol.
$44,364 Vol.
<2,5"
17%
2,5–3"
25%
3-3,5"
36%
3,5-4"
16%
4-4,5"
1%
4,5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 14, Seattle-Tacoma Airport (CLISEA station) recorded 1.87 inches of precipitation for the month, boosted by 1.06 inches on the 14th—nearly matching the 1991-2020 daily record—following a drier early April. With roughly half the month remaining and the 30-year April normal around 3 inches, National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles indicate modest additional rainfall from lingering Pacific moisture, but a developing upper-level ridge per Climate Prediction Center guidance favors below-normal totals late-month. This scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and intensification potential for incoming systems keeps trader consensus tightly split, with 34.5% implied probability for 3-3.5 inches versus 32% for 2.5-3 inches; daily NWS updates and GFS/ECMWF runs through April 30 will be pivotal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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