California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-26 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-26 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,423 Vol.
$26,423 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$26,423 Vol.
$26,423 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,026 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$12,398 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$26,423Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,423Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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