Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 89.5% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market because Morena designated him in August 2026 as coordinator for the defense of the 4T, effectively confirming him as the party's candidate for the June 2027 vote. The move followed his June resignation as mayor of Ciudad del Carmen and carried explicit backing from Governor Layda Sansores and the national Morena leadership. Traders view the nomination as decisive given Morena's recent dominance in state contests and the limited time for rivals to consolidate support. Other listed contenders, including Eliseo Fernández Montúfar at 5.4%, remain at single-digit or lower levels reflecting weaker party infrastructure and polling gaps. The market prices embed the expectation that the Morena-backed nominee will prevail unless late-cycle shifts alter the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 90%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 5.4%
Carlos Ucán Yam <1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega <1%
$27,567 Vol.
$27,567 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
90%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
5%
Carlos Ucán Yam
1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 90%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 5.4%
Carlos Ucán Yam <1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega <1%
$27,567 Vol.
$27,567 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
90%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
5%
Carlos Ucán Yam
1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 89.5% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market because Morena designated him in August 2026 as coordinator for the defense of the 4T, effectively confirming him as the party's candidate for the June 2027 vote. The move followed his June resignation as mayor of Ciudad del Carmen and carried explicit backing from Governor Layda Sansores and the national Morena leadership. Traders view the nomination as decisive given Morena's recent dominance in state contests and the limited time for rivals to consolidate support. Other listed contenders, including Eliseo Fernández Montúfar at 5.4%, remain at single-digit or lower levels reflecting weaker party infrastructure and polling gaps. The market prices embed the expectation that the Morena-backed nominee will prevail unless late-cycle shifts alter the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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