Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 84-85°F (29.5% implied probability) for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-80s peaks amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This high-pressure system promotes adiabatic warming and clear skies, suppressing cloud cover and boosting daytime highs beyond seasonal norms (historical March average ~68°F). Differentiating factors include GFS runs leaning slightly cooler at 82-83°F due to subtle cold air advection risks, versus warmer Euro-model outliers near 88°F from enhanced subsidence; ensemble spreads highlight 2-3°F uncertainty tied to boundary layer mixing. Traders eye 12Z updates for resolution shifts before the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
84-85°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
$11,116 Vol.
$11,116 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
$11,116 Vol.
$11,116 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 84-85°F (29.5% implied probability) for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-80s peaks amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This high-pressure system promotes adiabatic warming and clear skies, suppressing cloud cover and boosting daytime highs beyond seasonal norms (historical March average ~68°F). Differentiating factors include GFS runs leaning slightly cooler at 82-83°F due to subtle cold air advection risks, versus warmer Euro-model outliers near 88°F from enhanced subsidence; ensemble spreads highlight 2-3°F uncertainty tied to boundary layer mixing. Traders eye 12Z updates for resolution shifts before the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes