Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Tuesday high near 91°F in Chicago, with partly cloudy skies, southwest flow, and only a 20-30% rain chance, positioning the 90-91°F bin as the clear market leader. This reflects a persistent warm, humid air mass typical of early September climatology, where average highs reach the low 80s but recent patterns have trended several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around intensification or slight cooling keeps the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes as secondary contenders, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the stable steering pattern and absence of frontal passages before resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could still shift implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 1 de septiembre?
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
81°F o menos
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F o más
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
81°F o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
26%
90-91°F
$63 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$115 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
100°F o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Tuesday high near 91°F in Chicago, with partly cloudy skies, southwest flow, and only a 20-30% rain chance, positioning the 90-91°F bin as the clear market leader. This reflects a persistent warm, humid air mass typical of early September climatology, where average highs reach the low 80s but recent patterns have trended several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around intensification or slight cooling keeps the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes as secondary contenders, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the stable steering pattern and absence of frontal passages before resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could still shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Tuesday high near 91°F in Chicago, with partly cloudy skies, southwest flow, and only a 20-30% rain chance, positioning the 90-91°F bin as the clear market leader. This reflects a persistent warm, humid air mass typical of early September climatology, where average highs reach the low 80s but recent patterns have trended several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around intensification or slight cooling keeps the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes as secondary contenders, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the stable steering pattern and absence of frontal passages before resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could still shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Tuesday high near 91°F in Chicago, with partly cloudy skies, southwest flow, and only a 20-30% rain chance, positioning the 90-91°F bin as the clear market leader. This reflects a persistent warm, humid air mass typical of early September climatology, where average highs reach the low 80s but recent patterns have trended several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around intensification or slight cooling keeps the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes as secondary contenders, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the stable steering pattern and absence of frontal passages before resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could still shift implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes