Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Dallas on August 7 points to a high near 100°F amid typical mid-summer subtropical ridging, strong solar heating, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show little deviation from August climatology (average daily high near 99°F), following a brief post-frontal moderation earlier in the week that prevented extreme heat buildup, while urban heat island effects in the metro area support readings in the upper 90s to low 100s. Traders appear to weigh stable steering patterns and consensus model agreement over any outlier warming signals, with resolution hinging on official Dallas-Fort Worth observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 7 de agosto?
98-99°F 34%
100-101°F 33%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 34%
100-101°F 33%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Dallas on August 7 points to a high near 100°F amid typical mid-summer subtropical ridging, strong solar heating, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show little deviation from August climatology (average daily high near 99°F), following a brief post-frontal moderation earlier in the week that prevented extreme heat buildup, while urban heat island effects in the metro area support readings in the upper 90s to low 100s. Traders appear to weigh stable steering patterns and consensus model agreement over any outlier warming signals, with resolution hinging on official Dallas-Fort Worth observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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