Forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models consistently project a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Jinan on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This strong model consensus, following recent stabilization after earlier rainfall, underpins the market's 95.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical August climatology in the region supports highs near 30–31°C as typical. Only a significant, unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid cloud build-up could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though current observations show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 31 de agosto?
26°C or higher 99.2%
25°C 1.0%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.2%
25°C 1.0%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models consistently project a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Jinan on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This strong model consensus, following recent stabilization after earlier rainfall, underpins the market's 95.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical August climatology in the region supports highs near 30–31°C as typical. Only a significant, unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid cloud build-up could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though current observations show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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