Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 10°C (35%) as London's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts pinpointing a narrow range of 9–11°C amid mild Atlantic airflow. This reflects short-range model agreement from ECMWF and UKMO, with mean projections around 10°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds boosting daytime highs from recent cooler baselines. Differentiating factors include potential low cloud persistence dropping to 9°C (19.5%) or clearer intervals and stronger solar insolation pushing to 11°C (27.5%), as late-March climatology shows high inter-model spread from jet stream undulations. Uncertainty persists with upcoming 00Z updates potentially shifting odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 26 de marzo?
10°C 35%
11°C 28%
9°C 20%
12°C 8.9%
$60,616 Vol.
$60,616 Vol.
3°C o menos
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
3%
8°C
6%
9°C
20%
10°C
35%
11°C
28%
12°C
9%
13°C o más
2%
10°C 35%
11°C 28%
9°C 20%
12°C 8.9%
$60,616 Vol.
$60,616 Vol.
3°C o menos
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
3%
8°C
6%
9°C
20%
10°C
35%
11°C
28%
12°C
9%
13°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 10°C (35%) as London's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts pinpointing a narrow range of 9–11°C amid mild Atlantic airflow. This reflects short-range model agreement from ECMWF and UKMO, with mean projections around 10°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds boosting daytime highs from recent cooler baselines. Differentiating factors include potential low cloud persistence dropping to 9°C (19.5%) or clearer intervals and stronger solar insolation pushing to 11°C (27.5%), as late-March climatology shows high inter-model spread from jet stream undulations. Uncertainty persists with upcoming 00Z updates potentially shifting odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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